governors race

Second Gov Forum Takes On Economic Development

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All the candidates attended the WOEDA forum in West Oahu.
All the candidates attended the WOEDA forum in West Oahu.

“Hannemann is the experienced executive, the man who ran Honolulu and has a track record to prove it.”

CivilBeat

 

For the first time, Hannemann revealed a new idea. He proposed giving Kakaako back to the City. He expanded on the proposal after the forum, saying “I think with the concerns and perception and reality of luxurious high rises being built at the expense of affordable housing, give it back to the City for planning purposes because there’s a big puka now in all the planning decisions of the City and that’s Kakaako because they’re exempted from that.”

One of the City’s requirements is that 30 percent of developments be “affordable housing.’

Hawaii News Now

 

Hannemann went on to say that the redevelopment agency Hawaii Community Development Authority should put effort into building a racetrack in Kalaeloa since Oahu doesn’t have one.

KITV

 

Former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann pushed to get the divisive rail project off the ground, but says he took it to a vote like he would have done with same sex marriage.

The Independent Party candidate said, “I was okay when people said take it to ballot and it went and I said if it’s voted down, I will end the project and return every dollar back to the state and we will move on.”

Hawaii News Now

 

 

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First Governor candidate forum held without Ige

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The first in a series of debates between the candidates for governor of Hawaii took place today, hosted by the Grassroot Institute. See complete coverage:

8/22/14 – KHON – Gubernatorial candidates participate in forum, minus Ige

8/22/14 – KITV – Governors race heats up at Gubernatorial forum

8/22/14 – HawaiiNewsNow – Ige bows out of first forum, post primary

 

WATCH THE FULL VIDEO OF THE CANDIDATE FORUM:

 

 

 

Premature Polling Can Be a Waste of Time

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pollsThere’s an old adage that the only poll that counts is the final one on election day. This year, that may prove to be more accurate than ever. Any polls taken before the Democratic primary is resolved, beyond the numbers on that particular race, may be meaningless.  When the field is set for the actual three-way race, the gubernatorial polls might start to become relevant.

The two most recent widely-publicized polls should be ignored for a variety of reasons. First, there was an online poll on the Pacific Business News website aimed at capturing a “snapshot of what its readers were thinking.”  This quickly degenerated into a contest of partisan social media camps urging their followers to vote multiple times via the cyber ballot box. We chose to ignore the melee and our gubernatorial candidate Mufi Hannemann focused on taking our message directly to real people as evidenced by the slew of public endorsements we have announced recently.

Two years ago a Civil Beat writer issued this statement: “To folks like me who actually conduct and seriously analyze public opinion polls, online surveys are a running joke. But apparently some people care about them. Enough to cheat.”

Gubernatorial candidate Mufi Hannemann’s campaign organization chose to use its energy and resources elsewhere. “What was supposed to show what PBN readers were thinking has turned into a battle royal of illusion,” said Sandra Sagisi, a Hannemann committee spokesperson.”

“Furthermore, this online poll has simply become a contest of who can circumvent the system the best. Our competitors are running for governor of on-line polls, while Mufi’s busy running for governor of the State of Hawaii. He recently stirred a lot of positive feedback and discussion on his desire to bring back an inter-island ferry system and on the heels of Maui Mayor Alan Arakawa’s endorsement of his candidacy, Mufi announced the formation of the Hawaii Council of Leaders (HCL) comprised of the governor and the four county mayors to collaborate closely on issues benefitting all the entities, such as homelessness, state hospitals, transportation, public safety, TAT, collective bargaining and the like,” stated Sagisi.

Civil Beat’s own recent poll also suffers from obvious problems. Not only is it based on hypothetical match-ups, its sample is seriously flawed. Here are just a few of the reasons they do not match up with the actual voter population of Hawaii:

1.  Civil Beat over-sampled Caucasians at 40%, the actual percentage of the state is 24.3% according to recent census figures. They also were off with Japanese with 25% sampled while the population is pegged at 16.7%

2.  Civil Beat under-sampled mixed races, 10% to the actual 21.4%.

3. There are no age demographics to weight the results.  Different age groups vote at vastly different rates of participation.

4.  Civil Beat states that 62% of those sampled were “military families,” while the combined active duty and veteran population of Hawaii is actually in the mid teens.

Civil Beat’s own pollster, Matt Fitch conceded, “We are not going to know anything until after the primary dust settles.”

“So, we should all take these early attempts to analyze the governor’s race in this primary season with a grain of salt. Our campaign strategy is all about peaking on November 4 when the people of Hawaii cast their votes in the General Election,” concluded Sagisi.